NOTE:  Versions of this article were also published in: The Ottawa Citizen, Times Colonist (Victoria), The StarPhoenix (Saskatoon), Edmonton Journal, Calgary Herald

PUBLICATION:  Montreal Gazette

DATE:  2003.01.25

EDITION:  Final

SECTION:  News

PAGE:  A10

BYLINE:  TIM NAUMETZ

SOURCE:  Southam News

DATELINE:  OTTAWA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa's estimate of Quebec gun owners off by 230,000: MP: Firearms may total twice what officials think. Criminology professor says 6 million to 9 million guns remain unregistered across the country

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quebec government records on hunter certificates suggest the federal Justice Department underestimated the number of firearm owners in the province by almost 230,000, says Canadian Alliance MP Garry Breitkreuz.

The figures may also back up claims by a prominent British Columbia criminologist that there are likely several million more gun owners and guns across the country than the Justice Department estimated in 2001.

Gary Mauser, a professor at Simon Fraser University, said yesterday he estimates there are between 12 million and 15 million guns in Canada, twice what the Justice Department claims.

Figures obtained through Quebec's Access to Information Act show the province had issued 918,585 hunter certificates from 1972 to 2000, Breitkreuz said. The certificates are permanent and issued to individual hunters who have taken firearms safety courses.

But the Justice Department, in a survey done by GPC International in 2000, estimated there were only 690,000 firearm owners in Quebec.

That survey, based on telephone interviews with households across the country, led to an estimate of 2.46 million gun owners across Canada. A subsequent survey in 2001 led to an estimate of 7.92 million firearms in the country, including rifles, shotguns and handguns.

Breitkreuz, however, said yesterday the Quebec figures indicate many gun owners were reluctant to admit they owned firearms when they were contacted in 2000. Although pollsters completed interviews with 6,145 individuals, a further 6,753 refused to take part.

The Justice Department's estimate of gun owners has come under closer scrutiny following the department's disclosure last week that 204,800 gun owners in Alberta have been licensed under the new Firearms Act.

The 2000 federal survey led to an estimate of 220,000 gun owners in Alberta, which would suggest only seven per cent remain to be licensed in the province that has seen some of the most vocal opposition to the Firearms Act.

Chantal Breton, a spokesperson for the Canadian Firearms Centre, said the number of hunter certificates issued in Quebec cannot be reliably used to indicate the number of gun owners, because ownership is not a requirement to obtain a hunter certificate.

"It does not mean an individual has a firearm," said Breton, adding that spouses and minors sometimes acquire hunter certificates to permit them to accompany their spouse or parents.

Breitkreuz called that explanation "ridiculous." "It's absurd to say that somebody with a lifetime hunter certificate doesn't have a gun," he said.

The Justice Department said last week 5.9 million firearms have been registered under the new program. 

But Mauser said past surveys and firearm-sales and import figures suggest between six million and nine million firearms remain unregistered. "Those guns are underground, in some way or another," he said.